The future and its limits
Where checkable knowledge ends and predictions begin.
The chapter at a glance
Measured today
Explanation
Assessment of possibilities
Speculation about the future
In this chapter
- 1What is AGI, and do we already have it?AGI means artificial general intelligence, but there is no single, universally accepted and measurable definition of it.
- 2Can AI be conscious?So far there is no generally accepted test that could prove an AI has subjective experience.
- 3What are the big risks of advanced AI?The risks range from everyday mistakes to large-scale social and security consequences.
- 4What could change in the next few years?Most likely the models, their price, how they are used and the rules will all change at the same time.