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xAI

Tracked claims by Elon Musk.

Grok 5 will be out before the end of this year and it will be crushingly good.
Not keptDeadline: End of 2025 · Deadline passedLast checked: 2026-11-01Elon Musk on X, 7 Aug 2025 (as quoted by The Times of India)

Grok 5 was not released in 2025. xAI said on 6 Jan 2026 that Grok 5 was “currently in training”; as of 1 Nov 2026 xAI’s API release notes list Grok 4.7 (21 Sep 2026) as the newest model and no Grok 5.

Status history

2026-11-01 · Not kept — Added to tracker. xAI API release notes

2026-11-01 · Not kept — Rechecked; status unchanged. xAI API release notes (newest: Grok 4.7) Hugging Face: xai-org (grok-1, grok-2 only)

With Grok 5, which should be out before the end of this year, we will be incorporating the entire corpus of SpaceX data.
In progressDeadline: End of 2026 · 2 mo leftLast checked: 2026-11-01SpaceX Q2 2026 webcast transcript (SpaceX investor relations, 4 Aug 2026)

Not released as of 1 Nov 2026; xAI has announced no release date. Earlier targets (end of 2025, Q1 2026) passed.

Status history

2026-11-01 · In progress — Added to tracker. xAI API release notes

2026-11-01 · In progress — Rechecked; status unchanged. xAI API release notes (newest: Grok 4.7) Hugging Face: xai-org (grok-1, grok-2 only)

The @xAI Grok 2.5 model, which was our best model last year, is now open source. Grok 3 will be made open source in about 6 months.
Not keptDeadline: About February 2026 (stated: “in about 6 months”) · Deadline passedLast checked: 2026-11-01Elon Musk on X (as quoted by TechCrunch, 24 Aug 2025)

Grok 2.5 weights were released (xai-org/grok-2). Musk reaffirmed Grok 3 would be open-sourced in Feb 2026, but as of 1 Nov 2026 xAI’s Hugging Face organisation lists only grok-1 and grok-2; we found no official Grok 3 weights.

Status history

2026-11-01 · Not kept — Added to tracker. Hugging Face: xai-org models Dataconomy, 10 Feb 2026: Musk confirms Grok 3 will be open-sourced

2026-11-01 · Not kept — Rechecked; status unchanged. xAI API release notes (newest: Grok 4.7) Hugging Face: xai-org (grok-1, grok-2 only)

The @xAI goal is 50 million in units of H100 equivalent-AI compute (but much better power-efficiency) online within 5 years.
In progressDeadline: July 2030 (stated: “within 5 years”) · 45 mo leftLast checked: 2026-11-01Elon Musk on X (as quoted by Tom’s Hardware, 23 Jul 2025)

Deadline not reached. For scale, Epoch AI estimated Colossus 2 at roughly 1.1 million H100-equivalents in September 2026 (as reported by AI Prediction Index).

Status history

2026-11-01 · In progress — Added to tracker. AI Prediction Index (citing Epoch AI)

The Colossus 2 supercomputer for @Grok is now operational. First Gigawatt training cluster in the world. Upgrades to 1.5GW in April.
Not keptDeadline: End of April 2026 · Deadline passedLast checked: 2026-11-01Elon Musk on X (as quoted by Interesting Engineering, 19 Jan 2026)

Epoch AI’s satellite analysis (Jan 2026) found about 350 MW of cooling capacity, disputing the 1 GW claim; Epoch’s September 2026 estimate of about 946 MW of IT power (reported by AI Prediction Index) means the 1.5 GW April upgrade did not happen on time.

Status history

2026-11-01 · Not kept — Added to tracker. Tom’s Hardware, 21 Jan 2026 (Epoch AI satellite analysis) AI Prediction Index

Version 0.1 early beta of Grokipedia will be published in 2 weeks
DeliveredDeadline: 19 October 2025 (stated: “in 2 weeks”) · Kept 8 d lateLast checked: 2026-11-01Elon Musk on X, 5 Oct 2025 (embedded by NDTV)

Delivered 8 days late. Musk set the two-week target on 5 Oct 2025, postponed the launch on 21 Oct, and Grokipedia v0.1 went live on 27 Oct 2025 with about 885,000 articles.

Status history

2026-11-01 · Partially delivered — Added to tracker. Fox Business, 27 Oct 2025

2026-11-01 · Delivered — Corrected from partially delivered: v0.1 was published as promised, 8 days after the deadline. The delay is recorded as a deadline outcome, not as a partial delivery. Washington Post, 27 Oct 2025: Musk launches Grokipedia Times of India, 5 Oct 2025: Musk’s two-week target